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<br /> 14 <br />2.22.22.22.2 Future Developments and Demand GrowthFuture Developments and Demand GrowthFuture Developments and Demand GrowthFuture Developments and Demand Growth <br />2.2.1 Introduction and Key Points <br />This section examines the potential for increased parking demand arising from future downtown <br />developments, and examines whether that increase can be accommodated within the existing parking <br />supply. <br /> <br />· Planned downtown development is forecast to generate demand for approximately 1,700 <br />parking spaces during business hours on a typical weekday. <br />· If all these developments come to fruition, additional parking spaces (and/or travel demand <br />management (TDM) aimed at reducing the parking demand) may be needed in the future. <br /> <br />2.2.2 Future Developments and their Parking Demand Rates <br />Figure 2.4 and Table 2.8 show the anticipated developments in downtown Charlottesville, according to <br />data supplied by the City’s Department of Neighborhood Development Services. The list includes not <br />only developments that are currently in the planning process but also those which are anticipated to begin <br />the planning process in the near future. <br /> <br />The table also shows the estimated parking demand (during business hours on a typical weekday) from <br />each project. Wherever possible, the rates given in the Institute of Transportation Engineers’ Report <br />Parking Generation (3rd edition, 2004), which is a widely accepted manual, were used. However, the <br />report’s data are limited, and in some cases expert judgment was required to estimate a suitable demand <br />rate. Because the study area is a downtown with a mixture of uses, the opportunity to walk from one <br />location to another, and substantial transit service, the parking demand is likely to be lower than the rates <br />in the manual. In line with standard practice, a percentage reduction has been applied to the manual rates <br />to reflect this. The 20% reduction used is a typical level for a downtown of this size. <br /> <br />As shown in Table 2.8, the total estimated demand growth from the anticipated projects during business <br />hours on a typical weekday is approximately 1,700 spaces. This includes an estimated 600 spaces due to <br />the Water Street lot redevelopment, which is still at an early stage of planning; the redevelopment will <br />itself eliminate more than 200 existing spaces but may include on-site parking, depending on the outcome <br />of the design. The outcome of that site is therefore a key factor influencing future parking needs. <br /> <br />The estimated demand growth of approximately 1,700 spaces cannot be accommodated solely within the <br />approximately 800 currently available spaces in the public off-street lots. Some private lots may be <br />suitable for public parking if owners have available spaces and see a market, but this may not be enough <br />to accommodate the remainder of the forecast demand growth. If all the forecast developments come to <br />fruition, additional parking spaces (and/or travel demand management (TDM) aimed at reducing the <br />parking demand) may therefore be needed in the future. <br /> <br />